Type: supporting argument (off-timeline) · Assessment: contested — as a formal device Molina’s middle knowledge does reconcile infallible, sovereign election with an untouched libertarian freedom: God chooses which world of freely-responding creatures to actualize, so His decree is prior yet the creatures still do only what they would freely do. The whole reconciliation, however, hangs on there being true counterfactuals of creaturely freedom for God to know prior to His decree — and the grounding objection (what makes those truths true, before the creature exists and before God wills anything?) is unresolved, while the rival Bañezian–Thomist account (efficacy in the grace itself, not in foreseen consent) presses the “gift of faith” texts against it. Strong by the lights of analytic theology (a clean logical reconciliation, revived and vigorously defended), weak by the lights of Thomist metaphysics (no evident truthmaker; grace’s efficacy made to wait on the creature’s foreseen consent), with no consensus winner. · advanced by Luis de Molina, the Jesuit school (Suárez, Bellarmine), and modern analytic theologians (Plantinga, Flint, Craig) · against: Domingo Bañez and the Thomists (physical premotion), and the grounding objection (Adams, Hasker).
See also: the two eternal-decree arguments — election on foreseen faith and double predestination — and the initium fidei argument. Those weigh the ground of the decree (is election conditioned on foreseen faith?); this one weighs a proposed mechanism (a mode of divine knowing) by which a decree could be reconciled with freedom whatever its ground. Middle knowledge is a how, not a ground — but it is the machinery a post praevisa merita election would most naturally run on, so the pages are cousins.
The Jesuit Luis de Molina, answering the same crisis that produced the De Auxiliis controversy, proposed that God’s omniscience comprises three logical moments — not three times, but three stages in the order of explanation:
The pay-off is at the second moment. Knowing, before He creates, exactly how each possible person would freely respond to each possible grace and circumstance, God elects and providentially governs simply by choosing which circumstances to actualize — He instantiates the world whose freely-chosen outcomes match His purpose. Grace is efficacious, on this account, not because it intrinsically bends the will (the Bañezian view) but because God, by middle knowledge, knew that this grace, congruous to this person in this setting, would win a free consent — the “congruism” that Suárez and Bellarmine developed from Molina. So election can be sovereign and infallible (God freely selects the whole scheme) while every saving act remains libertarian-free (the creature could have done otherwise, and is not causally determined to consent). The dilemma — either grace determines and freedom dies, or freedom determines and grace’s priority dies — is dissolved by relocating the decisive divine act to the choice among feasible worlds of free creatures.1
Luis de Molina (1535–1600) set it out in his Concordia liberi arbitrii cum gratiae donis (Lisbon, 1588) — the title itself announces the programme: a concord of free choice with the gifts of grace, divine foreknowledge, providence, and predestination. His fellow Jesuits Francisco Suárez and Robert Bellarmine refined it into congruism, and the whole school defended it against the Dominican followers of Domingo Bañez in the Congregatio de Auxiliis that Clement VIII convened in 1598. Paul V closed that congregation in 1607 without condemning either side — Thomists and Molinists were each left free to teach their account.2
The device has enjoyed a vigorous modern revival in analytic philosophy of religion. Alvin Plantinga’s free-will defence turns on counterfactuals of freedom and “transworld depravity”; Thomas P. Flint’s Divine Providence: The Molinist Account (1998) is its fullest contemporary systematization; and William Lane Craig has made it the centrepiece of a whole apologetic for reconciling sovereignty, foreknowledge, and freedom. Alfred J. Freddoso’s translation of the relevant part of the Concordia (On Divine Foreknowledge, 1988) put the primary text back into circulation.3
It genuinely does the formal work. This is the reading’s real strength. No other account secures both horns at once. Compatibilist Calvinism keeps sovereignty by redefining freedom (the will is free so long as it acts unconstrained, even if determined); open theism keeps libertarian freedom by denying God infallible foreknowledge of free acts. Molinism alone claims to keep the full-strength version of each: God’s election is logically prior and infallibly certain, and the creature’s consent is undetermined and could have been otherwise. If middle knowledge exists, the reconciliation is not a fudge but a clean result — God knows the free outcome of every arrangement and simply picks the arrangement He wills, so nothing in the creature is coerced and nothing in the decree is contingent on the creature’s uncontrolled say-so.
Scripture speaks in counterfactuals of freedom. The account’s deepest surprise is that the Bible itself appears to trade in exactly the truths middle knowledge requires — true statements about what free agents would have done in circumstances that never came to pass. At Keilah, God tells David that Saul will come down and that the men of Keilah would deliver David up — yet David flees, so neither ever happens: God knows the free choice of an unactualized situation.4 Christ declares that Tyre and Sidon “would have repented long ago in sackcloth and ashes” had they seen the miracles done in Chorazin and Bethsaida, and that Sodom “would have remained” had it seen those done in Capernaum — counterfactuals about the free repentance of cities that were never given the occasion.5 If such statements are true — and Christ asserts them — then there are true counterfactuals of creaturely freedom, which is precisely what the objection below denies God could know prior to the event.
It preserves the goodness of God in reprobation. The motive is the same one that drives the conditional-election reading: to keep God from being the author of the sin of the lost. On the Molinist scheme God does not decree anyone to evil; He actualizes a world foreknowing that some will freely refuse the grace He genuinely offers, and the refusal is theirs. God’s antecedent will that “all men… be saved” (1 Tim 2:4) can be sincere even where, given the free responses He foresaw, not all are in fact saved.
The grounding objection — the decisive difficulty. Middle knowledge is knowledge of counterfactuals of creaturely freedom that are true logically prior to God’s creative decree. So ask what makes such a counterfactual true at that logical moment — what is its truthmaker? Every available answer fails the Molinist:
So there seems to be nothing to ground the counterfactuals — and if there are no true counterfactuals of freedom prior to the decree, middle knowledge has no object and the reconciliation collapses at its foundation. This is the objection pressed by Robert Adams and William Hasker (and, from the older Thomist side, by Garrigou-Lagrange: “before the divine decree there is no object for the scientia media”), and it is widely reckoned the strongest case against Molinism.6
The Molinist replies — genuine, but contested. Defenders answer, first, that the demand for a truthmaker is itself the mistake: counterfactuals of freedom are simply brute contingent truths, true of the creatures they concern without needing a further ground, and it is far clearer (Plantinga) that some of them are true than that every truth must be grounded in the way the objection assumes. Craig adds that the objector who insists on a truthmaker owes an account of what a truthmaker even is, and that if the disquotation principle (“p is true iff p”) suffices for other contingent truths it should suffice here; he also charges that pressing a causal grounding requirement simply assumes libertarian freedom is false and so begs the question. These are live moves, not evasions — but critics answer that “brute counterfactual of freedom” names the problem rather than solving it, and that the disquotation dodge works for truths that have a subject matter to disquote about, which is just what a pre-creation counterfactual about a non-existent free agent seems to lack. The debate is unresolved, and that non-resolution is itself the honest finding.7
The Bañezian / Thomist counter. Molinism’s historic rival denies that grace’s efficacy can rest on God’s foreseen knowledge of the creature’s consent at all. On Bañez’s account grace is efficacious ab intrinseco — God, as first cause, applies a praemotio physica (physical premotion) that moves the will to its free act, and the efficacy lies in the grace itself, not in a consent God merely foresaw. To make grace efficacious only because God foreknew the creature would consent is, to the Thomist, to make the creature the ultimate thing that distinguishes the saved from the lost — and against that stands 1 Corinthians 4:7 (“what hast thou that thou didst not receive?”) and the “gift of faith” logic that convinced Augustine: if the very consent is God’s gift, it cannot also be the independent factor on which His choice waits. The Molinist answers that congruous grace is still grace, freely given and unmerited, so the position is not Pelagian; but the two schools genuinely divide over whether the decisive difference between two men lies in the grace or in the differing free responses God foresaw — the very seam that Paul V in 1607 declined to close.8
A cost even friends concede. On Molinism God’s providence is bounded by the counterfactuals He finds true — some possible worlds turn out not to be feasible for Him, because no arrangement of circumstances would freely yield them (Plantinga’s “transworld depravity” is the limiting case). This is a coherent position and Molinists embrace it, but it means the range of worlds God can actualize is set by facts that are, by hypothesis, not up to Him — a real qualification on the sovereignty the account was meant to protect, and one reason Thomists judge the reconciliation bought at too high a price.
Contested. Middle knowledge is not a fudge: granting that there are true counterfactuals of creaturely freedom for God to know before He decrees, it delivers exactly the reconciliation it promises — sovereign, infallible, prior election together with full libertarian freedom, with neither watered down. That is a real achievement no rival account matches, it has a genuine scriptural foothold in the “would have” sayings of 1 Samuel 23 and Matthew 11, and it is advocated by a serious tradition from Molina to today’s analytic theologians. But the reconciliation is only as secure as its premise, and the premise is exactly what the grounding objection puts in doubt: at the logical moment before the decree there appears to be nothing — not God’s will, not the creature’s (non-existent) choice, not the creature’s nature without killing freedom — to make the counterfactuals true. The Molinist replies (brute contingent truths; a deflationary account of truthmaking; the charge that the objection begs the question) are live but not conclusive, and the Bañezian rival presses the “gift of faith” texts against grounding grace’s efficacy in foreseen consent. So the verdict is genuinely split along disciplinary lines — a clean logical reconciliation by the standards of analytic theology, an ungrounded and metaphysically costly one by the standards of Thomism — with no side having carried the field. (That the Church in 1607 left both schools free is a fact about ecclesial permission, not about the mechanism’s coherence; the rating here tracks the argument, not the permission — but the permission is a fair index of how live the division remains.)
Luis de Molina, Concordia liberi arbitrii cum gratiae donis (Lisbon, 1588), esp. IV, disp. 52 (on scientia media), trans. Alfred J. Freddoso, On Divine Foreknowledge (Part IV of the Concordia) (Cornell, 1988); the three-moments schema and congruism are laid out in the Catholic Encyclopedia, Molinism, and surveyed in the Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy, Middle Knowledge. ↩
Catholic Encyclopedia, Congregatio de Auxiliis (Clement VIII’s congregation, 1598–1607; Paul V’s 1607 decision permitting both Thomist and Molinist views, each side forbidden to brand the other heretical); on Suárez’s and Bellarmine’s congruism see the Molinism article. Cross-referenced on the predestination timeline (the De Auxiliis block). ↩
Alvin Plantinga, The Nature of Necessity (Oxford, 1974), ch. 9, and God, Freedom, and Evil (1974) — counterfactuals of freedom and transworld depravity; Thomas P. Flint, Divine Providence: The Molinist Account (Cornell, 1998); William Lane Craig, The Only Wise God (1987) and Divine Foreknowledge and Human Freedom (Brill, 1991); Alfred J. Freddoso, translator’s introduction to On Divine Foreknowledge (Cornell, 1988). ↩
1 Samuel 23:11–13, KJV: “Will the men of Keilah deliver me up…? will Saul come down…? And the LORD said, He will come down… They will deliver thee up” — whereupon David departs Keilah and neither foretold event occurs. Cited as a proof-text for middle knowledge in Craig’s defence and the IEP Middle Knowledge article. ↩
Matthew 11:21–23, KJV: “if the mighty works… had been done in Tyre and Sidon, they would have repented long ago in sackcloth and ashes”; “if the mighty works… had been done in Sodom, it would have remained until this day.” The standard Molinist appeal treats these as true counterfactuals of creaturely freedom about unactualized circumstances. ↩
Robert Merrihew Adams, “Middle Knowledge and the Problem of Evil,” American Philosophical Quarterly 14 (1977), 109–117 (the classic modern statement of the grounding objection); William Hasker, God, Time, and Knowledge (Cornell, 1989), ch. 2; for the older Thomist form (“before the divine decree there is no object for the scientia media”), R. Garrigou-Lagrange, Predestination (1936), and the survey in the IEP, Middle Knowledge (“the most debated objection to Molinism, and often considered the strongest”). ↩
William Lane Craig, “Middle Knowledge, Truth-Makers, and the ‘Grounding Objection’” (Faith and Philosophy 18, 2001); Alvin Plantinga, “Reply to Robert M. Adams,” in J. Tomberlin & P. van Inwagen, eds., Alvin Plantinga (Reidel, 1985) — it is clearer that some counterfactuals of freedom are true than that all truths need truthmakers of the kind demanded; the replies and rejoinders are surveyed in the IEP, Middle Knowledge. ↩
On Bañez’s intrinsically efficacious grace and praemotio physica, see the Catholic Encyclopedia, Congregatio de Auxiliis and Thomism; 1 Corinthians 4:7 (“what hast thou that thou didst not receive?”), KJV — the text Augustine made decisive against grounding God’s choice in anything the creature contributes (see the foreseen-faith argument and the Augustine detail page). ↩